In January, the forest fire was destroyed, destroyed Los Angeles. Murder At least 30 people and Separation Hundreds of thousands, while the city was rebuilt, it may face a brutal summer season, especially experts.
Thanks to the serious combination of the shocking environment and reducing sweeping to emergency response agencies in the 2025 fire season of California is scary. With important resources – especially the staff responding to the fire – it is very out of the way. It is not clear how the state can manage what is created.
“I am not confident in our ability to respond to the disaster at the same time in this summer.” Daniel Swain, climate scientists at Kasetsart University and Natural Resources, California University, with Gizmodo, snow -snow at an abnormal mountain in the early winter, and both today and the temperature is the main factors that will increase the heat of the California in this year.
“Some aspects of the fire season can be predicted, and some of the aspects do not happen. Finally, what will happen in the end will be the duty of both of these things,” Swain said. “The most possible result is a very active fire season, both lower and higher this year.”
Brian Fennessy, Head of OCFA Fire Fire Extinguishing Unit (OCFA) agrees. “All of the expected services have stated that southern California will have the highest year.” He told Gizmodo in emails, “lacking influence in tropical significance that brings high humidity and segments that may occur.
The season sparks quickly.
In the normal year in June, California is still a good law. Swain says at a higher height. Snow Pack is still dissolved until July, causing the soil of the mountain to be moist. At the same time, the lower height is still saturated from the state legal season, which is generally in the winter to jump. But this is not a general year
” although Snow Pack, the season, according to the season, close to the long -term average … it dissolves a lot faster than the average, “Swain said. For this reason, the risks of the higher mountain fire fighting may be “much higher” than usual in July, August and September.
In the low region of California, which includes the area and population of the majority of the experts. watch Fire activity The reasons are different in various parts of Swain, but in South California, it is because of the very dry winter. “We know this because we have the worst and the most destroyed in LA in January, which is usually the highest point of the rainy season,” he explained.
In areas with low durability in the country or the northern California is bone. Inappropriate For the past month In addition to increasing the risk of fire today, the above temperature suggests that the state is in an incredible hot conclusion according to the Swain. “As we have predicted by one season for the summer and the beginning of the autumn, this is screaming.” Yikes – When she looks very hot. 'Maybe the whole west, “he said. In fact, it may be one of the warm records.
The increased temperature will cause the landscape to become more dry and make the wifi more than it is. But the condition that is hot and dry can not only spark the forest There are many fuels and this year to go around in the past many years. The regions of California have received a lot of rain, causing the grass to prosper, because this plant is still dry, it may cause fast -moving brush, which can swallow a large area quickly.
All of this points to the operating season not only But in California only But still all over the west Fire Fire Center between the National Agency Perspective with the potential of important forest fire extinguishersWhich predicts the risk of forest fires throughout the United States from June to September, showing the risk of fire “North” throughout the summer
Even so, scientists cannot predict the time, intensity or the exact position of the fire in the future. The largest question market is the ignition according to the Swain. The main point for forest fires is lightning attacks and human activities, which are both close to the predictions.
Cutting of the central government increases fuel to the fire.
Since taking the position in January, President Donald Trump has reduced the staff a lot and offering important budgets in many agencies that help respond to disasters and recovery, including the Fema (the Central Government Emergency Management Office) as Astsotate Trump. plant In the beginning of the “termination” FMA after the Hurricane season, which will be officially ended on 30 November.
The response from the disaster is local leaders and government management, but Fema is responsible for coordinating resources from the central government to create direct help programs for households and providing funds to repair public infrastructure. Reporting the demolition of this agency will change the burden of disaster recovery to the state, which Swain is called “very worried” “.
“Everyone I know in the world, emergency management is tearing their hair right now,” he said. “Our ability to manage disaster at the same time, there are many deterioration and all the accounts will be much worse in the next three or four months.”
US Forest Service is also popular by 10% or the company's employees in mid -April. tourist– While the Department of Agriculture has Say That there is no Forest Service “firefighter” of the Forest Service being fired, but the cutting affects the “thousand” of the central government employees holding a red card. These employees are not official firefighters. But they are them Trained and certified To respond to forest fires at the desired time Such cuts affect the management team, the leadership of forest fires and confidence to the safety of the firefighters on the ground.
“We lost both infantry if you want and the general in the forest world,” Swain said. “Although there are many claims on the other hand.”
Moreover, Trump recently Ordered Government officials in the combination of the firefighters of Wildland – Nowadays, separated in five departments and two cabinet agencies – is the only forces. He gave the secretary of the interior and the Minister of Agriculture 90 days to comply, which means that the shaking will occur during the California's forest fire season.
SWAIN thinks that the structure adjustment may be a good idea in the long run. But the demolition of the organization of the forest fire fighting at the highest period of what is expected to be a particular victory – there is no specific plan to create a new season during the season – not
While Fennessee's leader explained the current disaster policy of the central government as a “unknown thing”. He appeared more optimistic about the combination of “It is believed that the combination of the five central government extinguishers will receive operational efficiency and cost savings that are not recognized in the past,” he said.
The firefighters of the new forest fire unit of the United States will work with land management agencies to achieve fire protection, reduce fuel, and fire extinguishing goals. Fennessy said. “The total agent is an opportunity to improve the response of forest fires in Joseph and in the area”.
Despite the uncertainty of the central government and a concern But the ability to say that OCFA has been prepared for the California's fire season this year. “All of our firefighters just finished their annual training and received a letter about what was expected through the remaining year of the calendar year and may be more than that,” he said.
Swain still has concerns. “Everyone involved will do the best and will have brave effort,” he added that many firefighters will have to work a lot of overtime and accept more stress and physical risk this year. “That's not the person that we should take the resources.”