Here are the 6 most important stock market charts that technical experts will be watching in 2025

• Investors are focused on the possible extension of the stock market bull rally into 2025.

• Wall Street experts highlighted the most important stock market charts to watch next year.

• From interest rates to software stocks, here's what Wall Street's top technical experts are watching.

After back-to-back strong years for the stock market, investors are wondering if that's the case the bull rally will extend to 2025.

To get a better idea of ​​what investors should be watching next year, Business Insider reached out to the top technical experts on Wall Street and asked them: What is the most important stock market chart headline of 2025?

From interest rates to software stocks, here's what they're watching.

Will Tamplin, Fairlead Strategies

“In December, the S&P 500 Index (SPX) nearly met a measured move projection of 6118, targeted by a breakout in Q1 this year. The measured move projects the 2020-2021 rise off the 2022 low. This indicates that a long period of consolidation is likely in the first half of 2025. The monthly MACD histogram is suggesting that momentum behind the uptrend began to fade in Q4, supporting further price corrections into early 2025,” Will Tamplin, senior analyst at Fairlead Strategies, told Business Insider.

Ryan Detrick, The Carson Group

“Bull markets are like cruise ships: once they get going, they can be hard to stop. Going back 50 years, once a bull market entered its third year, history said there could be a lot more left In fact, the five most recent bull markets that made it this far have lasted at least until their fifth anniversary, with average gains of eight years, so don't give up just yet. 2025,” Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist at Carson Group told Business Insider.

Craig Johnson, Piper Sandler

“The 10-year UST yield has reversed a long-term secular decline off the 1981 highs. The high above 3.25 ('18 highs) also validates the multi-decade reversal. Historically, after an uptrend or downtrend reversal, a retest usually happens.” ,” Craig Johnson, chief market technician at Piper Sandler, told Business Insider.

He added: “We suspect this pullback / pullback to previous resistance to find support around 3.00% – 3.50% 2H2025. A decisive break below that level would suggest the economy is in serious trouble. Until then, don't forget to take it slow and moderate feed rate cuts have historically been bullish for stocks, especially for Small and Mid Cap stocks.

Ari Wald, Oppenheimer

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“The most important chart we're watching going into 2025 is the performance of high-momentum stocks versus low-momentum stocks, broadly defined as the top gainers versus the biggest losers over the previous 12 months. we recently reported that historically the momentum factor has outperformed in the period between the widest moment of the cycle, when most stocks are involved, and the final peak of the market Looking ahead, we see two possible scenarios: 1) the bull cycle expands further driven by “catch up” to low momentum (losers); this would be a bullish scenario for all stocks Or, 2) the cycle bull narrowing weighed down by low momentum, and the MO factor continues to outperform,” Ari Wald, managing director at Oppenheimer, told Business Insider.

Jay Woods, Freedom Capital Markets

“2025 is the show-me year for technology. Investors want results, and software stocks are poised to lead that charge. Technically, we experienced a full-round beta bottom over a two-year period in 2022-23 .It started in 2024 but spent most of that time consolidating slightly higher before finally moving up in late 2024 with a nice gap on its face ( cycle) in October,” Jay Woods, chief market strategist at Freedom Capital Markets, told Business Insider.

He added: “That gap could be used as a perfect risk/reward organization. If there is further weakness in 2025 that 95 level should be a downside risk area to watch. The upside targets seem much more likely, making this a sector and trade to watch for 2025. Look for the sector to not only address its recent all-time highs but add around 20% to them.”

David Keller, Sierra Alpha Research

“We'll be watching measures of market breadth, including the advance decline, the percentage of stocks above their 50-day moving average, and new 52-week highs and lows. The post-election rally in Q4 has featured narrow leadership, with “the mega-cap growth stocks provide most of the upside while other stocks have struggled the likelihood of a corrective move in Q1,” said David Keller, chief market strategist at Sierra Alpha Research, to Business Insider.

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