Two United Airlines forecasts reflect turbulence


And aircraft with United Airlines Boeing 737 Max 9

Kevin Carter Getty Images News Getty images

Planes are one of the few transport ways that attract you from the place of origin to the destination in a main line. But United Airlines, one of the largest carriers in the USA, has no direct route luxury when it comes to predicting its finances. The airline on Tuesday offered two estimates from year -round earnings: one is original results from January; Secondly, the newly changed forecast if there is a recession.

On the one hand, it is a recognition that the economy cannot be foreseen – think about how many analysts there were certain The recession would hit the US in 2023.. On the other hand, this is rarely done, reflecting increased volatility in the economy due to US President's administration Donald Trump.

However, variability seems to be in the markets, according to the CBEE or VIX variability index, which is seen as a “fear meter” on Wall Street. Stocks withdrew on Tuesday, but these were marginal declines compared to huge declines last week. Now the journey is relatively smoother, but as the unusual United Airlines movement suggests, turbulence can still be ahead of us.

What you need to know today

Variability on retreats markets
American actions fell on Tuesday. . S&P 500 fell by 0.17%, Industrial average Dow Jones lost 0.38% and NASDAQ composite A marginal 0.05%has dropped. . VIX He fell to around 30 after reaching a height of about 60 last week. Regional Europe Stoxx 600 index increased by 1.63%. LVMH The shares sank by 7.8% after the company reported on Monday a 3% decline in the year to a year Sales in the first quarterLack of expectations of analysts for a slight increase.

Nvidia to pay $ 5.5 billion
Nvidia Actions fell by about 6% in extended trade after the company said on Tuesday that it would take it Quarterly fee of around $ 5.5 billion related to the export of H20 graphics processing units to China and other destinations. On April 9, the US government said Nvidia that it would require a license to export tokens to China and a handful of other countries, said the company registration. H20 is an AI system for China, which has been designed to comply with export restrictions in the USA.

Rare land control of China
Among the Trump tariffs to China in Beijing at the beginning of this month I applied export restrictions On seven key elements of rare lands used in defense, energy and automotive technologies. According to the report of the Strategic and International Studies Center, if China's trade control results in such exports, the US will not be able to fill the gaps – and maybe threaten Washington's military abilities.

Estimates of earnings in recession
United Airlines reported earnings on Tuesday and took An extraordinary step of offering two perspectives of earnings. The company left intact expectations issued in January, but also provided estimates of earnings in the case of recession. “The company's prospects depend on the macro environment, which according to the company is impossible to predict this year with any degree of trust,” he said in the application of securities.

India inflation slows down
Annual inflation rate of India In March, 3.34%fell to lower than expected, the Ministry of Statistics and the implementation of the program reported on Tuesday. This meant the fifth in a row monthly inheritance and fell below 3.6% of the reading expected by the economists surveyed by Reuters.

(PRO) The US retail report may be deceptive
The retail sales report in the USA, on Wednesday, should look solid because consumers still spend money. Economists also expect healthy growth reading. Details probably tell a different story. This is why investors The header number should not be acceptedwrote Jeff Cox from CNBC.

And finally …

The statue of Albert Gallatin is outside the United States Department of the Treasury building in Washington

Andrew Harrer Bloomberg Getty images

Trump's tariffs led the sales of the treasury-who sold a resource safely willing?

Over the past week, the US tax market has escaped from a safe marina, in an extraordinary move that increased the market confusion caused by the “mutual” tariff of the US President Donald Trump.

In just a few sessions performance on 10-year treasure On Friday, it increased to 4.592%, the highest than February. Similarly 30-year-old treasure The performance reached the highest level from November 2023 last Wednesday. While the crops have fallen lower since then, they remain elevated.

China, Japanese life insurers, hedge funds and “bond vigilance” are among the likely culprits of bond sales.



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