Nice, but not slowly, the outline of a new world order appears – the world order of large energy blocks and many less rules than the one that now defies.
It remains unclear, where Canada will fit in this new world. But there are tips, which can be a path forward for this country, because he struggles with the painful awareness that his strongest and closest ally turned him on him, bringing each new day Shocking evidence of the Kremlin hug in Washington.
European officials have conducted talks with Canada, which aim to include this country in a new partnership in the field of defense production, potentially enabling Canadian companies to bid on contracts, because Europe is preparing for a large -scale weapon.
“We talked to the European Union to make sure that we can work together on defense orders,” said Foreign Minister Mélan Jola CBC Power & Politics Host David Cochrane on Wednesday.
The Minister of Foreign Affairs Mélan Jola joins Power & Politics when President Donald Trump speaks new threats against Canada, confirming that Canada is talking to the European Union to “cooperate” in defense orders. In addition, Richard Madan from CBC brings us the latest from Washington.
“I think it gives good news, because ultimately we must make sure that we can be closer to Europeans … In this defense supply.”
Christian Leuprecht from the Royal Military College of Canada and Queen's University, Canada must submit a specific offer to Europe, because the continent quickly assesses the safety position again.
“The biggest risk for Canada has always been Canada itself in the world,” he said. “If Europe goes alone in making decisions and the ability to defend and so on, it will need Canada even less than now.”
Within three weeks Oval office failure In which US President Donald Trump and vice -chairman JD Vance hid the Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, European leaders made extraordinary progress towards a new alliance focused on defending Ukraine and the rest of the continent before Russian aggression.
The question is: how much space is there in Canada in this alliance?
Europe contributes to a huge scale
European leaders are in the process of an unprecedented review of joint defense of the continent.
“We live in the most significant and dangerous time,” said the president of the EU committee Ursula von der Leyen, announcing a huge mobilization package for the destruction of Europe on a scale not observed for decades.
“In this world,” said the President of the EU Parliament Robert Metsool, “we cannot afford to rely on others to ensure our safety.”
French President Emmanuel Macron turned to his nation on television at the best time: “I want to believe that the United States will remain on our side. But we must be ready.”
Tom Enders, former head of Airbus and head of the German Council of Foreign Relations, went on: “We cannot close our eyes to the fact that the United States is Now the opponent. “
Despite leaving the EU five years ago, Great Britain explained that she wanted to join the rising alliance. Prime Minister Keir Starmer called for the “Coalition of Volunteers”-devices for non-European-to further defense of Ukraine after abandoning Washington.
“Canada is the only non-European country that has been invited to these meetings because it is NATO's ally, and he has participated so far,” said Jamie Shea, who was the deputy assistant to the Secretary General of NATO for the emerging security challenges during the first term of Trump.
It is obvious that Europeans welcome all the help they can get when it comes to Ukraine. But it is not clear that they are ready to welcome Canada in a more formal alliance, if NATO is still falling apart under US pressure.
2 harsh reality
In a world in which the US is approaching Russia and become more and more hostile to Western democracy, Canada is facing two difficult realities that limit the appeal as an ally to other nations in each NATO agreement.
First of all, Canada is looking for new alliances because it feels threatened by us with an annexation, but the allies that occur – with the exception of Denmark – feel threatened by Moscow, not from Washington. Formal alliances with mutual defensive obligations are usually the most attractive to countries that are in the face of the same threats from the same quarters.
Secondly, few countries are associated with obligations to defend an ally who cannot return a favor. And Canada is not able to design significant military strength in other parts of the world, such as Europe.
“It was crickets from our allies in terms of getting up in Canada,” said Leuprecht CBC News, although there were several Small symbolic gestures.
Last week, in the oval office, NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte remained silent, and even smiled when Trump created his part the most dangerous Comments about annexes about Canada and Greenland.
Canada has what Europe needs
While Canada cannot now offer NATO much more than The strength of the brigade forceIt has other things that Europe needs very much, which can be the basis of a new security agreement.
Despite the efforts to stop, Europe remains strongly dependent on Russian gas. And half of its liquefaction imports of natural gas (LNG) come from an increasingly hostile United States.
“Europe is very susceptible to for extortion by Trump's administration,” said Leuprecht. “Trump will do exactly what Putin did to Europe. How do you try to reduce this risk? You will earn your liquid natural gas from Canada.”
The German government showed great interest in both Canadian gas and green hydrogen. In 2022, the former Chancellor Olaf Scholz went to New Foundland to sign the signing agreement In the case of hydrogen from a large wind design on the PORT-AU-Port peninsula.
Recently, Canadian leaders do this very height.
“We know that we have everything that the country would dream about in the world,” said Jola at CNN International. “We have all the necessary energy. We have all the fertilizers and pot” necessary. We have the whole earth. And we are also an agricultural superpower. We have the necessary uranium, hydroelectricity, oil and gas. We have all people, critical minerals, talent, I could go to and turn on. “
There is a lack of infrastructure
Roderich Kiesewetter, a former general staff officer in the German army and a member of the Bundestag (parliament), who sits in the Foreign Committee, says that Canadian energy is associated with few defects related to the US and Russia.
“It is much better to finance Canada and receive Canadian fossil and LNG than to pay Russia indirectly for energy and gas. This would be in favor of both of us if Europe and your country cooperate in this.”
But Canada also has a problem: No infrastructure To get energy to Europe.
“There are no ports. They lack pipelines. But joint investments, joint ventures of European investors and Canada may be an exit,” he said.
Kiesewetter told CBC News that the partnership should be both military and economic.
“Why should Canada not become a third party to contribute to European security, and vice versa of the European Union contributing to Canada's security?” He said.
“In the 1980s and 1990s, German troops were in Shilo (Manitoba) and had exercises at the brigade level in your territory. Why should we not revive it?”
Shelter from Russian missiles
There is something else that Canada can offer to Europe, says Leuprecht.
“Canada thoroughly provides defense. It is much more difficult to hit this country with bullets,” he said.
The huge area of Canada not only offers exceptional opportunities for training European forces, including low -level air training, which is almost impossible in Europe, but can also play an important role in the re -stimulation of Europe.
“You need to produce things, ammunition, tanks and the like,” said Leuprecht. “Where are you going to produce it?”
Can Donald Trump's president or Canadian defense support go to Europe from the western alliance of US President Donald Trump? As Evan Dyer from CBC explains, the constant army of the country does not offer much on the way to the presence of soldiers, but has other things needed by Europe.
Canada helped to maintain British feeding and armament during the darkest days of the war, when all of continental Europe was under Nazi occupation.
“We saw in Ukraine how many industries can be completely destroyed by these continuous rocket attacks,” Shea said. “Europe will invest in defense of air defense and defense of ballistic missiles, but you will never have complete insurance.”
He said that Canada could offer European military assets a relative safe haven, as well as a supply line of minerals necessary for modern weapon technology.
“There is a chance in every crisis. And it is definitely an opportunity for Europe and Canada to get closer to each other,” he said.
Spend, spend, spend
“So the message (from Canada) is that we will do two things for our allies: thoroughly defense and energy security – said Leuprecht. “But in return you must have your back now.”
He says that the governments in Europe present huge distances, which are currently underway as an economic opportunity for their own young people.
“The military proposal, which Starmer has on the table for the only contribution of Great Britain into the peace forces of Ukraine, would cost the equivalent of one percent of GDP,” he said.
“It develops, you can see movies online, in which this defensive investment will create good works for the British. We will create engineering works. We intend to introduce innovations. It's good for Great Britain. You know, I don't see a Canadian politician here.
“If I were a politician, I would say every factory in Canada that comes out of business, we'll find out how we can make him part of the industrial defense complex and how we can provide our partners with European partners.”