Donald Trump's tariffs will make world trade, says WTO


Charlotte Edwards

Business Reporter, BBC News

Chief Chief Ngozi Okjo Otzho-Wovela gestures with her right hand as he spoke at a press conference at the headquarters of a hundred in Geneva on Wednesday. She wears a blue hat and blue clothing on a blue background, which says EPA

Chief Chief Ngozi Okojo-Yvela called the US-China relations “really disturbing” at a press conference in Geneva on Wednesday

The World Trade Organization (WTO) predicts that global trade will fall this year because of US President Donald Trump's tariffs.

He added that the “strong risks of the decline”, including reciprocal tariffs and political uncertainty, can lead to an even larger decline in global trade in goods.

“The decline is expected to be particularly steep in North America,” said a hundred, predicting that trade will fall by more than tenth in this region.

Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala, CEO of a hundred, called the “separation” of the US and China “a phenomenon that really worries about me.”

Earlier, the WTO expects global trade in goods to expand by 2.7% in 2025, but now predicts it will fall by 0.2%.

Chief economist Ralph Osa said: “Tariffs are a political lever with wide -ranging and often unforeseen consequences.

“Our simulations show that the uncertainty of commercial policy has a significant subsidiary effect on commercial flows, reduces exports and weakening of economic activity,” he added.

Also, on Wednesday, the UN Trade and Development Authority, UNCTAD, released its own report, which predicted global growth to slow down to 2.3% in 2025 due to the escalation of trade tensions and uncertainty.

It states that the projection is under “a threshold of 2.5%, widely regarded as signaling a global recession”.

Some regions can still see trade growth

Getty Images Delivery Containers is raised by Crane in a large pile of load harbor in Singapore on April 12Ghetto images

The 10% base rate for almost all foreign US imports began on April 5, although some countries and goods are released.

China has a much higher tariff, which is now 145% for most goods.

The US stock market slid at its opening on Wednesday, with large indices fell against the background of continued insecurity.

Despite the prediction of trading with the US, WTO expects that some regions will still see commerce growth.

It says that Asia and Europe are still planned to follow modest growth in both exports and imports this year.

“The collective contribution to the growth of world trade in other regions will also remain positive,” the WTO report said.

For the first time, the report contains a service forecast – which is when the parties buy and sell services with each other instead of goods.

This is common in industries such as tourism or finance where nothing is provided physical, but a service is provided.

One hundred predicts that the services of services will increase by 4% in 2025, which is about one percent less than expected.

Tariff messages and Trump's climbing

Following Trump's in -January, noise from tariffs were observed in January.

The US President says import taxes will encourage US consumers to buy more US goods, increase the amount of increased taxes and lead to huge levels of investment in the country.

However, critics say the return of production to the US is complicated and can take decades and that the economy will fight in the meantime.

Trump also withdrew from many of his messages.

Just hours after steep levies against approximately 60 of the trading partners in America, this month began, Trump announced 90-day pause Regarding these tariffs, for all countries, they prohibit China over the increasing opposition of politicians and markets.

In March, the governor of the Bank of England warned that Trump's rates can mean less money in the pockets of the UK users.



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