Iran threatens revenge after the US strikes. The expert destroys the possible targets of Tehran.


Iran launched rockets against US Air base al -Udeide In Qatar on Monday after promising avenge Trump administration surprise On top of the Islamic State Three nuclear sites On weekends. US and Qatari officials said the missiles were intercepted and not reported.

In addition to US aviation bases in the region, other potential Tehran's steps may include attacks on US military assets in the Middle East by closing The Strait of the HillWhat is a point for 20% of world oil and conducting the so-called asymmetrical war, which includes terror and cyber-napades worldwide.

US military assets in the Middle East

A We work Eight permanent military bases in the same countries in the Middle East – QatarBahrain, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, Jordan, Kuwait, Egypt and Iraq – with almost a dozen more military facilities across the region, the Foreign Relations Council reports. The main of these permanent bases is Al Udeida, in Qatar, with 10,000 officials. Just to the West, Bahrain is the home of a US military -maritime base called Bahrain -Military Support from approximately 9,000 troops. U.S. estimates are estimated across the region.

“There are a number of options in Iran's own target deck,” said Berk Oselik, the Middle East Safety Expert in the UK Royal Institute of the United Services (Rusi). “Unlike Israel's Iranian targeting, which is much more difficult to geographically because of the distance, the Iran's stock or the arsenal of a short ballistic missile makes US military installations in the Persian Gulf more vulnerable. In this sense, they have softer goals.”

US military presence in the Middle East

There are about 45,000 military officers in the US, numerous bases and powerful air and military fleet that it can deploy in the Middle East.

Omar dug/Anadol via Getty Images


Iraq, which divides nearly 1000 millions of border with Iran in the east, “is usually regarded as the next potential frontline where the conflict can grow,” she said because of “a number of paramilic groups associated with Iran”, which may act regardless of the Iranian government. Such groups in the past attacked on US Air Base in USA in Iraq and US Embassy in Baghdad.

US military assets, which include aircraft carriers and their accompanying destroyers, as well as various amphibians and other support ships, are also potential goals. The Arabian Sea is currently located in the Arabian Sea group of USS Carl Vinson carriers, and President Trump redirected the USS Nimitz air carrier to the Middle East from the South China Sea. The Uss Gerald R. Ford airline is also on the way. Several US destroyers in the area patrol the Red Sea, Bay and the Eastern Mediterranean.

These dozens of Ships provide passible Targets for various forms of iranian attacks, including “heavily armedboats, short-raan balloistic missiles, surface Target American vessels or American allied vessels, Similar to the Houthis has been excercising in the Red Sea.

Strait of the mountainous and 20% of world oil

US military assets in Baku, Iran can lead to global economic and energy pain, trying to stifle the passage through the strait of the chormus, through which about 20% to 25% of world oil, as well as a similar percentage of eliminated natural gas. An important waterway connects the rich Persian Gulf with the Gulf of Oman and then the world. At the narrowest point, it stretches only 21 miles, with Iran to the north and Oman and the United Arab Emirates south.

Iran's Navy can lay thousands of mines to damage the ships trying to pass. Azelik Rus said that it symbolizes the desperate “act of the last resort”, which means that Iran “comes out of control and spiral.”

We can view this as one of these suicide missions tactics, ”she said.

Map of the Strait of the Highus

A map that shows the shed of the chorm and its role in the transportation of oil and the eliminated natural gas (SPG) in the Middle East to the world markets across the Arabian Sea and the Indian Ocean.

Murat Usubali/Anadolu via Getty Images


US Secretary of State Mark Rubio on Monday called on Beijing to help Iran close the strait. On Sunday, the Iran's state press TV reported that the Iranian Parliament, Majlis, approved the closure of the Harmus Strait, but added that the final decision would be with the Supreme Council of National Security.

Analysts oil predicts that prices can jump by 50-60%if the shed hormone was closed. Currently, one barrel of oil is trading at $ 70 a barrel. This can jump up to $ 120. Whether the organization of oil countries, or OPEC, will release more oil to offset, determine the duration of any possible price shock.

“Even if it is for a short time, and in the future, the Horku Strait will be restored, or Iran does not support such a threat for a long time,” Azelik said. “Iran would still suffer the consequences of this potentially, both in terms of its status, reliability with the Persian Gulf, as well as with oil infrastructure in the region, which has an impact on Iran's oil trade.”

Terrorist and cyberattacks

The Azelik said the real long -term protracted threat lies in the “asymmetrical space of war and potentially financial terrorism.”

On Sunday, the US National Terrorism Advisory System warned of a “enhanced threat environment” in the country. The newsletter did not lead any specific threats but said “low level Cyberattack Against US nets, the pro-Iranian hativists are probably also cyber-subjects related to the Iranian government. “

The warning came after the Praisno Khactivist group, known as “313 teams,” a loan for a short -term shutdown of the Platform of Social Messages of President Trump said on Saturday. At about 8pm, users who tried to log in to the message received an error said “Failed” and “try again”. Platform Back up and running.

Iran worldwide has been involved in terrorist attacks. Most recently, in London in May, the British authorities arrested several Iranians who have planned a plot of terror aimed at the Israeli Embassy. In 2023, also in London, the Iranian conspiracy to kill two Iranian news, which criticized the regime, was also thwarted. Other story terror in Cyprus, Germany, Turkey, USA, Denmark, Belgium and France have been stopped in recent decades.

Any Iran's action, be it direct attacks on the US assets or close the strait, invite the US response, warns the Trump administration, which may be at risk of Iran's government.

D -n Trump after announcement of the attacks on Saturday night, warned Iran from any revengeSaying, “There will be either peace or there will be a tragedy for Iran much greater than we witnessed in the last eight days.”



Source link

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *