Although Canada's choice was seriously launched in late last month, public opinion surveys have seized a political narrative opened since the beginning of the year.
The President became a lot in this race to shape the resignation of the Trump's trade war, the annexationary threats and the last Prime Minister of Canada, how the voters felt.
The election will take place on April 28, so there is a lot of time to change the work, but the New York Times looked at public opinion inquiries by closely examining quality and consistency.
Trump continues to have a significant impact.
When Mr. Trump passed a commercial war and began to threaten the sovereignty of the nation In early February, he reversed the election trends in months: liberals were supported and narrowed for conservatives.
A 20 plus point of the conservative party in a total of eight weeks disappeared, and now liberals lead the chests with an average of six percent points.
Canadians refer to the tension with the United States The most important issue encounter the country. This year, Mr. Trump's actions are one of the two reasons for the fact that Mr. Trump's actions from another party to the Liberal Party from another party According to the latest survey from the Angus Reid Institute.
A new leader is accelerating.
Liberals also benefit from a fresh face. Prime Minister Mark Carney, former Prime Minister Justin Trudeau'u, the former Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, who plans to go down last month, is the leader.
The same Angus Reid questionnaire found a more share – 56 percent – Mr. Carney's liberals are one of the first two reasons they supported.
Paradise Carney is the only national party leader who is a rejoicing rating – the percentage of voters who are negative to those who do not love it are positive and the popularity party itself is superior.
In an angus reid survey 54% of the Canadians from the end of March, Mr. Carney's leader Pierre Poilievre and Yaqmeet Singh, the leader of the oil and NDP CARNEY, or NDP CARNEY, said they wanted the best prime minister.
“If Trudeau continues, he doesn't think it will get the same numbers,” he said Springa selection analytical site. “If the Trump is not there, I don't think Carney will get the same numbers.”
Conservatives are not bad; Liberals simply make it good.
With a multi-party parliamentary system where the Canadian, any party voting in 40 percent of popular votes has a strong chance to provide a majority government. Currently, the liberals have increased by an average of 44 percent CBC's query tracker, The conservatives sit at 38 percent. In the past, conservatives have won force About similar supportBut the voters on the left were divided in those elections.
The Liberal Party managed to strengthen the support on the left at the expense of other parties. Liberals who save the sandors have sank up to the lowest levels of support for decades.
“Always 'ABC' voters – 'Something other than protection' – but the movement is marginalized,” he said. “It's not this time.”
Conservatives are even lost support between the main demographics.
Recently, a demographic turn in surveys is the division of Canadian voters for the conservatives of young voters.
Voting from Leger In the late March, the 18-year-old age of Canadians preferred to the savings of Canadians to 39 of the liberals and while some surveys Conservatives showed young voters with a number 10 percentage points.
Over the past two years, Mr Poilievre, especially young men, has made a profit in this cohort, and partially offered a status que that many young Canadians did not work for them.
In fact, Canadians over the age of 50 wanted a continuous trade war as the best issue facing the country, Those under 50 are probably To point to other issues such as living cost, as their highest concern. Similarly, as in the United States, there are more men than men than men and men.
But these gaps are reduced in almost every group, so Angus reid.
Support among men, in the last survey, in the last survey, 44 percent planned to vote, 44 percent of men said they plan to vote, said they have provided 44 percent.
Only one-age sex group – men under the age of 35 – the male under the age of 54 – the last survey had a clear majority, but this gap was narrowed.