Trump's tariffs can cause a summer economic crisis: Chicago Fed President


The owners of companies and general directors already deal with supplies, and some American buyers are Buying panic Large tickets while waiting for the president Donald Trump Tariffs. Sudden purchases can cause a “artificially high” level of economic activity, said the president of the Bank of Federal Reserve Chicago East Goolsbee.

“This kind of preventive shopping is probably even more pronounced on the business side,” Goolsbee CBS said “Face the Nation” on Sunday, adding: “We heard a lot about preventive wrestling that could last 60 days, 90 days if (there were) more uncertainty.”

Inventory companies i Consumers accelerating purchasing decisions – Buying Apple In addition, the iPhone now, and not to wait until autumn – it can inflate the US economic activity in April and slow down in the coming months, suggested by Goologee.

“Activity may look artificial high in the initial place, and then it can fall in the summer – because people bought everything,” he said.

Sectors affected by Trump tariffs, especially the automotive industry, are most likely to supply wrestling before importing goods from other countries potentially, GOOLSBEE said. For example, in China, many car parts, electronic components and other consumer items are produced, which are currently in the face of a total tariff rate of 145% for goods imported to the United States.

Trump's tariffs for a number of other countries They are currently in the middle of a 90-day pause, and 10% of the output tariff rate apply to all imported goods around the world. The break expires on July 9 Trump advertises a series of feet negotiations with foreign leaders from time to time.

“We don't know, in 90 days, when they visited the tariffs again, we don't know how big they will be,” said Goopolsbee.

Some American owners of companies who buy goods produced in China say that they can no longer afford to place orders for reserves. Matt Rollens, owner and general director of Granite Bay, California company with new drink Dragon Glassware, He says he temporarily holds his products in China Because paying 145% of the fee would force him to raise consumer prices by at least 50%, probably drying of customer demand.

Rollens has a sufficient number of stocks in the US to last about June and hopes that by that time the tariffs will be withdrawn, said CNBC that he did it on April 11.

Apart from short -term uncertainty and financial pain, Goologee Fed has expressed optimism about the country's long -term economic perspectives.

“If we manage to go, remember: the hard details of the arrival until April were quite good. The unemployment rate (it was around a permanent full employment, inflation (she was) dropped,” he said. “It's just a desire for people to express that they do not want to return to 21 and 22, while inflation really got out of control.”

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