President Donald Trump has stopped for 30 days the huge rates for Mexico and Canada, which he threatened after negotiations at the last moment with the two neighbors from the United States.
He may indicate discounts on the border and the application of crimes such as victory. But Canada Justin Trudeau and Mexico Claudia Shainbaum may also want political victories.
A trade war, which would send economic shock through North America and beyond, has been detained – for now.
So, who blinks first and what happens after that?
It seems that Trump Brinks is paid
From courti Submanian, BBC News, Washington
The confrontation of the high bets of President Trump with the closest trading partners of the United States seems to have been paid, with Mexico and Canada agreeing to make more borderline security and take greater steps to deal with fentanyl traffic.
The US Economy Strategy to force discounts from other countries is winning Trump's agenda, which allows him to follow the main domestic problems without the US consumers feel the sting of the economic consequences of the continental trade war S
His tariff book book is hardly new.
Trump's rates for steel and aluminum during his first term have caused the reverse reaction from Mexico, Canada and the European Union, but economists say these measures have been more limited to the scope.
This time, Trump has promised extensive tariffs for goods from Mexico and Canada and China, which is still ready to see a 10% increase in the rates of goods starting at midnight on Tuesday.
But it is unclear whether Trump will follow his threats to Canada and Mexico after the 30-day period has ended. This uncertainty provokes concerns that could see businesses that reduce their reading in US markets by lingering in investing in the construction of new factories or hiring workers until commercial straightening becomes more clear.
Lame-Dack Trudeau removing a commercial truce
By Jessica Murphy, BBC News, Toronto
It was not a January Arctic explosion from the North – it was a widespread relief from Canadian politicians and business leaders of the 30 -day pause at US tariffs.
While the threat of tariffs remains, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau may request a political profit: a temporary truce in what has been formed as a devastating trade war.
Canadian politicians are struggling to find out exactly what Trump would satisfy, a situation that is not aided by Canada's domestic policy, with Trudeau ended his last weeks in power as Prime Minister of Payak.
Border security measures, announced on Monday, are not all new.
In December, Canada announced $ 1.3 billion.
Canadian monitoring drones and two Black Hawk helicopters have recently begun to patrol the border between the two sides.
Officials have cited these efforts for weeks to show that they seriously take Trump's border concerns.
It seems that a new element is the appointment of Fentanil King and directive to intelligence of $ 200 million to combat organized crime and fentanyl.
One question that remains is what this means to the future of relations in Canada and the United States. The partnership between the Allies was deeply shaken by Trump's economic threats.
Mexico's Shainbaum buys time
By Will Grant, BBC Central America and Conterral Corporther, Mexico City
Throughout this trade crisis, President Claudia Shainbaum has called for Cool Heads and Calm.
Even on Friday, she said she was confident at the last minute of 25% rates for Mexican goods. And so it turned out to be an early morning phone call with President Trump.
By announcing the agreement shortly thereafter, she could barely wipe the smile from her face and her supporters announced what they saw as a master class, how to negotiate with Donald Trump.
Yes, she agreed to send troops to the National Guard to the border to focus on the fentanyl-contrabanda, but most importantly, what she wanted from Trump.
Like the obvious-pause of tariffs, it also made Trump promise that the United States would do more to deal with the traffic of high-power weapons from the United States in Mexico to prevent them from completing the arms of the cartel artillerymen.
But she also bought another vital goods: time.
She now has a few weeks to upgrade the points in accordance with this phone call and to make temporary retention of tariffs permanently.
The expectation is that now Secretary of State Marco Rubio will soon visit Mexico to discuss these issues and a joint fentanyl group will be created with Mexican and US Health and Security Officers.
If sheinbaum actually manages to prevent more commercial warfare, it will decrease as the first significant victory of its new government, having only been in service since October. And this can set a tone for future interactions with President Trump and his administration.
