What are the obstacles in Europe for the peace plan for Ukraine?


Frank Gardner

Security Correspondent, BBC News

Epa Zelensky sitting in front of a Ukrainian flag, rests on his chin on his hand, looking deep into the thoughtEPA

Whatever words are used to create plans arising from the Sunday Sunday meeting of the 19th European leaders in London – the cessation of fire, a truce or peace plan – the challenges are forthcoming.

The United Kingdom Prime Minister Kayer Starmer, along with French President Emmanuel Macron, hopefully this will be the plan to eventually bring lasting peace to Ukraine.

At its core lies what Sir Keyer calls “Coalition of desire”Those who would help guarantee peace in the event of a transaction.

But what are the obstacles – and how easily can be overcome?

Can Europe gather sufficient determining power?

First, can the exhausted armies in Europe and the semi -empty arsenals gather something approaching a significant deterrent to unfold in Ukraine? What nations, other than the United Kingdom and France, will be ready to send strength in such an uncertain scenario given doubts about US support?

Ukrainian President Volodimir Zelenski said he would need international power of Up to 200,000 troops In order to maintain a truce along the contact line of 600 miles (960 km) between the two opposite armies, Russia and Ukraine.

Although this figure is a wild optimistic, the Ukrainian leader is correct in assessing how much it would be necessary to act as a determinant for all future Russian invasions.

In fact, Europe will fight to invent even one -third of this issue, which is the effect of decades of failure of its military, years after the Dividend of Peace after the Cold War had to end.

Air power would be crucial. This is what is known as ISR (intelligence, observation and intelligence), as well as for the repulsion of all future Russian invasions.

There is no point in having a brigade of the United Kingdom troops sitting on a part of the conditional fire termination line if thousands of Russian troops and armored vehicles are poured through a 100 miles gap and there are no adequate means of repulsion.

The United States has a huge capacity in the intelligence signals, Sigint, and air-to-air loading, without which it will fight purely power. A recent London -based Brain Trust report in the International Institute of International Affairs (IIS) is indicated:

“Reading Europe on Washington's military capabilities, especially critical factors such as ISR and air-to-air charge, will pursue Independence a major challenge without major investment in these areas.”

It is said that “the United States also contributes over half of all NATO fighter jets and fighter fighter fighters.”

In short, the compilation of a reliable deterrent to protect Ukraine would be extremely challenging, if not impossible, without US military archiving.

Can Trump be convinced to provide an American back?

Watch fully: the remarkable exchange between Zelenski, Vance and Trump

Donald Trump likes to say that he does not start wars, he stops them.

The last thing he wants to do at the moment is to perform US military troops and air power to a conditional unstable fire line, which has the potential to explode in firing firing that is dragged into NATO forces.

Instead, he has telegraphed his preferential way of ending this war that is Cut a deal directly with Russian President Vladimir Putinone to one.

The purpose of Sir Cayer is to come up with a reliable proposal to terminate the fire, which can then be presented to President Trump in hope – and I would emphasize this word “hope” – that he then agrees to provide to provide to provide US military backS

So far, this seems unlikely.

Will Russia accept it?

Reuters Putin the gestures while talking, sitting at a desk in the KremlinReuters

Why would he do it on earth? – Some would argue.

His ground forces win on the battlefield, though at a terrifying price in human life and Ukraine has lost its largest ally in this war: the United States.

Without the military support of America, Ukraine will be highly full to keep the advanced Russian troops in the east and southeast. Without American Patriots missiles, its cities will be even more vulnerable to mass rocket attacks by Russia.

President Putin always makes it clear that he will not accept the presence of NATO members' troops in Ukraine. Now that he effectively has an ally in the White HouseHe is even less likely to give up a place on this issue unless President Trump can offer him a lot of stimulation in return.

The bottom line in all this is that the Kremlin has not given up its maximalist goals to Ukraine, which is ultimately returning the whole country to Moscow's orbit, replacing Zelenski with Pliant, a pro -Rusian puppet.

Like the minimum, it is unlikely to move its main request Ukraine will constantly retreat not only those territories that Russia already occupies – in the areas of Heron, Proising, Donetsk and Luhansk – but also abandons the neighboring cities of Herson and Saporism.



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