The 22nd game of the Premier League season looks like it could be decisive.
Leaders Liverpool looked destined to drop points at Brentford before Darwin Nunez doubled their lead in stoppage time. inspired a huge 2-0 winwhich only became more important when Arsenal let their two-goal lead slip away against Aston Villa later in the day.
There's still a long way to go, but here's how the stats look Select watch the Premier League title race unfold after the latest round of drama.
Arsenal's draw means Liverpool are now six points clear at the top of the table, with the added bonus of having a game in hand, which they play away at Everton next month.
There's no doubt about it, that's a significant advantage at this point in the season.
This is reflected in the statistics, with Select giving Liverpool 91.5% of Arne Slot's delivery of the Premier League trophy in his first season at Anfield. No team has a better chance of finishing in any single position than Liverpool in first place.
Mikel Arteta knows he has a gap to close if Arsenal will finally win the title this year. The stats are definitely not on his side, with the Gunners having just an 8.2% chance of winning the title away from Liverpool.
However, it is not a two-horse race. Eighth place Manchester City are still given a 0.2% chance of completing the most stunning title turnaround in history, while high-flying Nottingham Forest are 0.1%.
Newcastle United and Chelsea, who are fourth and fifth respectively, are given no hope of winning the big game.
|
Order |
Club |
The probability of winning the title |
|---|---|---|
|
1. |
Liverpool |
91.5% |
|
2. |
Arsenal |
8.2% |
|
3. |
Manchester City |
0.2% |
|
4. |
Nottingham Forest |
0.1% |