New Year. reflection, It's time to make decisions and predict exactly where each team will finish at the end of the 2024-25 Premier League season.
While we can't predict exactly how many times you'll be using this brilliant gym membership over the next few months, or 'New Year' How strictly will you stick to the 'new me' mantra? Opta's league predictions The model gives a picture of what the table will look like by the time May rolls around.
Using betting market insights and Opta Power Rankings, the model predicts the probability of a match outcome (win, draw or loss) based on historical and recent team performances.
These results are then used to simulate thousands of remaining league matches to see how often teams finish in each position to create predictions for the final table.
So as the Premier League reaches the halfway mark, catch up on the last bits of Boxing Day as we see how the Premier League table will look in five months' time.
Liverpool to win trophies.
Not surprisingly, Arne Slot's team tops the prediction pile with a 91.3% chance of winning the Premier League title.
They have lost just once in all competitions this season and are currently eight points clear. While there are concerns off the pitch – namely, Mohamed Salah Uncertainty continues over the futures of Van Dijk and Trent Alexander-Arnold, who are out of contract next summer – and Liverpool are looking sharp on that.
They have won their last 3 league games in a row and scored 14 goals. On December 22nd, they lost to Tottenham Hotspur by 6 goals and scored 5 goals without reply against West Ham at the London Stadium on Sunday.
Who can stop them?
😍 Conquer the city and end 2024! #WHULIV pic.twitter.com/rIBrfWon7v
— Liverpool FC (@LFC) December 29 2024
Manchester City will be in the top four.
Won 2 out of 14 matches in all competitions. By their standards, Manchester City's form of late has been pretty poor.
But while it may seem impossible for the champions to retain their Premier League crown this season, they are a team that can never be dismissed.
Given their dominance in previous seasons, Opta have a 40.8% chance of finishing them in fourth place. They beat Leicester 2-0 to finish fifth at the end of the season, which manager Pep Guardiola labeled “relieved”.
According to Opta, though, the lofty heights of second place this term have been expanded. The Flying Forest have no chance of repeating the Foxes' title-winning heroics of 2015-16.
The prediction model gives them a 0% chance of making it to the top; But Nuno Espirito Santo's side are tipped to end the campaign in a respectable fifth place.
We are in this together. ❤️ pic.twitter.com/COUQPkzPXr
— Nottingham Forest (@NFFC) December 29 2024
Relegation zone
Unlike Forest, The predicted table is Leicester; It makes for delightful viewing for Ipswich and Southampton fans.
All three sides, who were promoted from the Championship last season, are likely to be relegated, with the struggling Saints given an 83.8% chance of staying at the bottom of the league.
New manager Ivan Juric says his style of football is similar to death metal music, but he hopes his team will continue to thrive in the second half of the season.
The bottom half ended for Manchester United.
United have a 14.1% chance of finishing 12th this season. The arrival of the new coach Ruben Amory, but the Portuguese coach won four games during his tenure. With one draw and five defeats, the Red Devils have struggled to adapt in recent weeks.
Their next three games, at home to Newcastle, Liverpool away and Arsenal away in the FA Cup could define their season.
Premier League prediction table
According to Opta
1. Liverpool
2. Arsenal
3. Chelsea
4. City
5. Nottingham Forest
6. Newcastle United
7. Aston Villa
8. Bournemouth
9. Tottenham Hotspur
10. Fulham
11. Brighton
12. Manchester United
13. Brentford
14. Crystal Palace
15. West Ham
16. Everton
17. Wolf
18. Leicester City
19. Ipswich Town
20. Southampton